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Dutch GP Preview
PLP Season 2 Edition 34
Race Weekend
That wasnāt so bad, was it? As long as thereās an Olympics every summer break then I think weāll be ok. As for the next three weekend raceless period thatās just one short month away, well, not sure what to do about that one. Anyone know when the Winter Olympics is? Maybe weāll get lucky and theyāll decide to do it then.
Weāve got a bit of a shorter issue this week (maybe a good thing? I tend to ramble on sometimes) as Iām on a bit of a summer break of my own, a.k.a. trying to desperately avoid sunburn as I soak up the summer sun at the world famous Jersey Shore. SPF 50 or bust.
Hereās the schedule for this weekend in EDT (Eastern Dutch Time?):
FP1: Friday, Aug 23rd @ 6:30am
FP2: Friday, Aug 23rd @ 10:00am
FP3: Saturday, Aug 24th @ 5:30am
Quali: Saturday, Aug 24th @ 9:00am
Grand Prix: Sunday, Aug 25th @ 9:00am
Quick Question!
What team will score the most points this weekend? |
Dutch GP Preview
Weekly Rorschach Test: I wanna say coat hanger, or maybe a nail gun?
Oh boy am I pumped up for this one. This weekend weāve got 72 laps on the twisty, high downforce, mix of medium and slow corner circuit on the Dutch coastline at Zandvoort. Originally made up of a mix of permanent and temporary roads along coastal sand dunes, it was built in 1948 (same year as Silverstone) during the post war motorsport enthusiasm boom.
Pay close attention to Quali, because overtaking on race day will be a challenge. Teamās will bring high drag set ups with loaded rear wings to help stick their cars to the curvy track, which has been described by drivers as āReally quickā, āpretty insaneā, ācrazyā and āold-schoolā, with the undulating dips being likened to a roller coaster ride in what is a true driverās circuit. Famous corners include the turn 1 āTarzanā hairpin corner and the 18 degree banked turn 3 āHugenholtzbochtā. Turn 14 also includes some banking to allow drivers to run side by side at the same speed.
Former F1 driver Jolyon Palmer: āYouāve got to have commitment, particularly in the middle sector, which is undulating, and youāve got to just have it hooked up in the high speed sections. You donāt want to be having random snaps of oversteer, because itās a punishing circuit as wellā
The Orange Army will be out in full force to support their hometown hero Max Verstappen, who is still the favorite with the current odds putting Lando as the closest challenger, ahead of Piastri/Hamilton/Russell. McLaren is bringing some minor upgrades, both Mercs will be on the upgraded spec, and Williams will finally bring some more updates of their own. Watch for Red Bull to try to get their car right and Ferrari to continue to get their bouncing under control.
It seems like any one of the top contenders has a good shot to take the win this weekend, though I do think Max gets off the schneid and ends his four race losing streak. Hoping weāre back to a true four way battle when Ferrari brings upgrades next weekend to Monzaā¦
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Liberty Makes Room for Motorcycles
This week Liberty Media announced a $825M stake sale of Formula 1 to fund their purchase of MotoGP earlier this year, valued at a total of $4.2B. Theyāll be issuing special shares to raise the cash. In a statement, Liberty laid out the details: āLiberty Media Corporation announced today that it has priced the previously-announced public offering of 10,650,000 shares of its Series C Liberty Formula One Common Stock (āFWONKā) at a public offering price of $77.50 per share.ā May have to see if I can pick up some FWONK for myself. FWONK sounds like what you would hear after an anvil falls on Wile E. Coyoteās head in an old Looney Tunes episode.
Liberty President and CEO Greg Maffei had this to say about the deal: āWe are thrilled to expand our portfolio of leading live sports and entertainment assets with the acquisition of MotoGP. MotoGP is a global league with a loyal, enthusiastic fan base, captivating racing and a highly cash flow generative financial profile.ā Highly cash flow generative financial profile. You heard that correctly. I bet they also have cross-functional vertically integrated synergies, as well. āThe business has significant upside, and we intend to grow the sport for MotoGP fans, teams, commercial partners and our shareholders.ā
Iāve heard good things about MotoGP, but I just donāt got the time to get addicted to that also, ya know?
Down the Grid
š„Max Verstappen [277]: Heās won all 3 of his home races since F1 returned to The Netherlands in 2021. āItās great to start it back at my home race. Itās always a fantastic atmosphere, and the fans are incredible, so itās a special one for me.ā
š„Lando Norris [199]: A podcast host for Paddock Insider recently said on his show: āI was with Lando the other day and I said how was life aside from doing brilliantly in F1? And you know what he said? ā Lonely.ā Dang. I donāt doubt it - a lot of sacrifices growing up pursuing the dream, constantly on the road once youāre in F1. A lot of people would certainly trade places if given the chance though.
š„Charles Leclerc [177]: Stated that Ferrari has actually made significant improvements to the SF-24 but the bouncing issue has hidden their effectiveness. Theyāve tried aggressive set up changes to reduce it, and hope to get back on track in the upcoming races with further improvements.
4ļøā£ Oscar Piastri [167]: āSunned and healedā: heās fully recovered from a broken rib and is āready for some more race cars.ā Classic Oscar. Heās my (not so dark horse) pick for the win this weekend.
5ļøā£ Carlos Sainz [162]: Williams Head of Vehicle Performance Dave Robson thinks that Sainz will present a challenge to the team next season as their two cars will likely be running close together quite often. In past years with Sargeant and Latifi, this was not usually the case.
6ļøā£ Lewis Hamilton [150]: Hopes to build on the teamās recent good run, but has downplayed the chances of a title shot this season. āIt would be high hopes.ā
7ļøā£ Sergio Perez [131]: Says heās feeling ārechargedā after the break. Richard Wood will step in as his race engineer starting this weekend while Hugh Bird is on paternity leave. Will this switch be a needed shake up? Or just add to the troubles..
8ļøā£ George Russell [116]: Pointed to tire and plank wear being higher than expected for Spa DQ, along with his own weight: āI knew before the race I was a little bit light, but it was too late to make a substantial change without eating a steak or something, which is probably not the best pre-race routine." Imagine trying to drive an F1 car with a 22oz ribeye and half a bottle of cab swishing around in your belly? I guess George could have skipped the cab though.
9ļøā£ Fernando Alonso [49]: Chimed in this week on the headlines where NASCAR driver Kyle Larson proclaimed himself better than Verstappen: āI think heās good at everything. Although not as good as me! (laughs).ā I like how they put (laughs) in parenthesis. Clearly Alonso is tongue in cheek, though I donāt doubt he does believe heās better. A lot of guys think theyāre the best. As for Kyle Larson.. pshh.. itās laughable that heās better than the three time champ.
šLance Stroll [24]: Dutch pundit Tom Coronel says heās a āreally good driverā but the āfun factorā is missing. Which driver has the highest āfun factorā? Iād say Danny.
11. Nico Hulkenberg [22]: Appreciates the call he got from Audi CEO Gernot Doellner when joining his new team for 2025. āIt shows respect and how serious he and the brand are about our Formula 1 project.ā
12. Yuki Tsunoda [22]: VCARB CEO Peter Bayer says heāll be considered for the Red Bull seat next year if his performance continues to impress.
13. Daniel Ricciardo[12]: Helmut Marko said that Liam Lawson will be in a car next year, and Daniel agrees: āI saw [Liam] compete in the car when I was on the sidelines, and I think he did a great job. He is worthy of a seat. If heās in the sport next year, thatās a good thing.ā But will it be at his own expense? Seems pretty possible right now.
14. Ollie Bearman [6]: Echoed Landoās loneliness comment: āAt some stages, there wasnāt any light at the end of the tunnel. Thatās difficult to stay motivated and driven. When you donāt see an end goal; and I remember some points where you know loneliness is a real thing in top-level sport.ā
15. Pierre Gasly [6]: Excited about new TP Oakes taking over, citing āpositive changesā at the team.
16. Kevin Magnussen [5]: On why he loves Zandvoort: āThe Dutch Grand Prix has a crazy atmosphere with the Orange Army, which makes up about 99 percent of the fans there. Itās a very cool track for Formula 1 as itās super old-school and hasnāt changed much since the seventiesā¦.itās a driverās track. When you push there, you really are pushing the limits.ā
17. Esteban Ocon [5]: Haas TP Komatsu says his signing shows that the American team is no longer a last resort.
18. Alex Albon [4]: Shares insight into his former teamās ability to stay at the top despite no longer having a dominant car: āI still feel like they haven't lost their edge in terms of execution. Pit stop strategy, generally speaking, is always very good. And they do show you that even with not always having a top car, either if it's Max or if it's team, they seem to execute things very well.ā
19. Zhou Guanyu [0]: Feature on racial bias and prejudice heās experienced moving up through the racing world: āMy family sacrificed a lot. We moved from China to Sheffield when I was 12. It took everything. Some luck, too. And then, before I ever get a chance to race, itās, āhe doesnāt deserve it, it should be so-and-so; heās only there because of money.āā
20. Logan Sargeant [0]: Focusing on the last 10 races despite his Williams exit, and is looking forward to Zandvoort: āFrom a track perspective, itās one that I enjoy. Itās one that I go well at.ā
21. Valtteri Bottas [0]: Ferrari reserve driver Robert Swartzman will drive his car in FP1 this weekend.
Constructorās Corner
š„Red Bull [408]: From Monza onwards, the development program for the RB20 will include reverting some specs and mixing new parts with old ones. Marko: āOnce the car's behavior becomes more predictable again, Perez will also regain his speed." Another great Helmut quote this week: āThe car has become a ***** that only Max can tame.ā š
š„McLaren [366]: CEO Zak Brown thinks having his two drivers āconstantly at the frontā gives his team an advantage over Red Bull. On the Constrctorsā title, he thinks āI think itās going to come down to the last race. Thereās not much between the cars. Itās gonna come down to how does Sergio Perez perform?ā
š„Ferrari [345]: Replaced the floor of their wind tunnel during the summer break. The new roller system should be more gentle on the 10 set allotment of tires given to the teams for their tunnel testing.
4ļøā£ Mercedes [266]: The team is now seeing better correlation between the simulator and how developments are behaving on track. Trackside Engineering Director Andrew Shovlin: āThe ability to predict what the car will do is one of the best ways to develop these days, when you donāt have endless amounts of simulation or track testing.ā
5ļøā£ Aston Martin [73]: You canāt escape the rumor: $100M Newey deal expected to be announced soon.
6ļøā£ VCARB [34]: Rolled back itās Barcelona floor upgrade after identifying it as the main reason the package missed the mark. Technical Jody Errington: āAs a package, it was clear that we hadn't been able to extract everything from it, and although the load that we anticipated was there, we'd sort of decoupled the car in through-corner and through-speed balance more than we wanted.ā
7ļøā£ Haas [27]: TP Komatsu says that rivalsā struggles have made them look better than they actually are: āSauber then had problems with the pitstops, Williams with the chassis, Alpine with development and weight. We couldn't have expected that.ā
8ļøā£ Alpine [11]: Executive Technical Director David Sanchez on the teamās second half goals: āOur objective will be to try and settle on the high side of our performance level, which is trying to consistently enter Q3 in qualifying.ā Q3 consistency would be quite the turnaround from their awful start.
9ļøā£ Williams [4]: Looking for upgrades this year to become the baseline for their 2025 car, viewing the two as a singular project as they focus on 2026 as much as possible. Head of Vehicle Performance Dave Robson on 2026: āThe aero will come, although we've been able to do a little bit of aero under the TD from the FIA, they are really helping to understand the regulations. So that's always useful to just get everyone's mind into the 2026 game.ā
šKick Sauber [0]: Itās now the Mattia Binotto show for the Audi project as heās been given āfull responsibility.ā The new stakeholders hope to lean on his engine experience heading into 2026.
Tech Talk
Thatās Quick: Adrian Newey revealed that an amateur driver taking his RB17 hypercar for a test drive on the teamās simulator put up a lap time that would have taken pole in Silverstone this year by one second.
Bono Not Gone-o: Peter Bonnington, current race engineer to Lewis Hamilton, is expected to become Kimi Antonelliās race engineer next season. Rumors are the deal is done for the 17 year old to join the team in 2025, but there has yet to be an official announcement. Word is theyāll introduce him during Monza weekend, where heās set to take part in a free practice.
All Technical Updates: Check out this chart from @LuisFeF1 on X that highlights every technical update brought by every team so far. You can see the difference in design philosophy, for example Ferrari bringing two large update packages with Mercedes taking a more piece by piece foundational approach. š½
Click the link above if you actually want to read it⦠but you can see the patterns here. Race is on the X axis and car component on the Y axis. šø @LuisFeF1 on X
Off the Grid
George Pose: Internet hooligans photoshop the infamous āGeorge poseā into various scenarios. Gotta admit I canāt get enough of these.
Fasionista: Watch Zhou Guanyu (P2 in F1 fashion rankings) break down Lewis Hamiltonās (P1 in F1 fashion rankings) outfit during the seven (eight?) time championās summer break trip to Africa.
Something Missing: Ever wonder what an F1 car would look like without being plastered with sponsorship logos? It needs something on the engine cover or sidepod. But donāt expect to see this look on track anytime soon. Or ever, really.
šø formula_aerodaymanics on Instagram
Quick Question (My Answer)
Iām thinking McLaren. Theyāve got some small upgrades, but expect Mercedes to be right there as well. Red Bull is a toss up based on how Checo performs. Look Ferrari to be back in the mix once they bring more upgrades to Monza and beyond.
Enjoy the race this weekend, I think weāll pick up right where we left off in terms of excitement. Just donāt think about the next break š½
Weāll be off between Singapore and Austin, from Sep 23 - Oct 17 šø @theformulameme on X
What did you think of this week's edition? |
Questions? Comments? Did we get something wrong (never š)? Let us know ā¶ [email protected]